Meeting documents

Cabinet
Wednesday, 8th February, 2006

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APPENDIX 3

(annex 3, 4 and 6 below)

THE DRAFT BUDGET PROPOSAL OF THE COUNCIL EXECUTIVE

Executive Summary

In this document the Council Executive sets out its draft budget proposal for 2006/07. This fills in the detail of the second year of the financial plan proposal contained within the Corporate Plan, recommends revenue and capital budgets for 2006/07 and recommends a level of Council Tax for that year.

Our budget proposals include:

A £7.8m or 4.5% increase in the total revenue budget on a like-for-like basis.

A £3.2m or 3.4% increase in the non-schools budget on a like-for-like basis.

A £4.6m or 5.8% increase in the schools budget on a like-for-like basis.

A reduction of £36m in the Council's reliance on unsupported borrowing to£29m against a planned £65m by limiting the capital programme while new capital resources are made available and linking the cost of unsupporting borrowing to services ability to pay for that borrowing, and stretching targets for capital receipts.

A 4.95% Council Tax rise that continues the policy of meeting Government guidance.

A reserves strategy to increase reserves to c.£8m by 2008/09 in accordance with the recommendations of the Resources Director.

Doing this within the context of a tough financial position and a period of heightened financial risk in addition to everyday risks over the next 3 years.

The recommendations are conditional upon the Council, the Council Executive, Directors and Heads of Service:

- Implementing the difficult decisions contained in the draft revenue and capital budgets.

- Limiting the capital programme until additional capital resources are made available and that these are balanced between the need to reduce unsupported borrowing and additional capital investment needs.

- Not approving any calls on reserves beyond those risks identified that cannot be contained by management or policy actions and ensuring any use of reserves includes their reinstatement over a 3 year period.

- Remaining within service cash limits for 2006/07 and future years.

- Providing a clear focus on value for money to inform the 2007/08 budget process.

A recognition that the financial position in future years is as challenging as 2006/07.

Structure of the Budget proposal

Section 1 sets out the context and our approach to the revenue budget and the high level build-up of the recommended revenue budget for 2006/07. Annexes 1 and 2 provide more detail.

Section 2 sets out the context and our approach to the capital budget and the build-up of the recommended capital budget for 2006/07. It also includes indicative capital budgets for 2007/08 and 2008/09. Annexes 3 and 4 provide more detail.

Section 3 sets out the current position on revenue balances and makes recommendations on earmarking of balances. Annexes 5 and 6 provide more detail.

Section 4 provides additional information on aspects of the revenue and capital budget.

Section 5 sets out the implications of the revenue budget for Council Tax levels for 2006/07.

Section 6 summarises our budget recommendations to Council which will be contained in a covering report to Council. These are repeated in Section 2 of the main report.

Section 1 - The Revenue Budget for 2006/07

Introduction

The proposed Budget for 2006/07 has been prepared as an integral part of the Council's Corporate and Financial Plan and the proposals should be viewed within the framework set by the Corporate Plan. Annex 1 to this Appendix highlights changes that we are suggesting to the Financial Plan.

The purpose of the Budget is to allocate financial resources to Council services to deliver services to the community to required standards and performance targets. The detail of what is spent must therefore be seen within a service's overall plans. For 2006/07, detailed budget decisions will be made as part of finalising individual Service and Resource Plans, within the financial resources determined by the Council.

Services have been asked to plan on the basis of existing financial plan targets. They have been asked, within the context of their Service and Resource Plans, to set out what this means for their services this autumn. The Corporate Plan identified the context and various ways services could look at meeting these additional costs. As an example, the need to redirect resources may mean that previous levels of service in some areas cannot be maintained. The implications of any changes should be properly spelt out in Service and Resource Plans. Specifically services were asked to draw up plans for 2006/07 that met the following:

Increased employer pension contributions are absorbed by services. (This is assumed at an additional 1.8% p.a. over 3 years).

Service pressures are absorbed by services, within existing planning targets.

A further £1.4m of savings to reach a Council Tax increase just below the Government's expectation of 5%.

Guidelines for Service and Resource Planning were issued to services in late October 2005. The process also included scrutiny of the draft Service and Resource Plans by Overview and Scrutiny panels during January 2006 before any decisions are made by the Council.

As the Council Executive we are keen to involve more Councillors in the early development of service and budget proposals and will seek to strengthen our arrangements during 2006/07.

The Context to the Budget Proposals

The draft revenue budget for 2006/07 is proposed within a difficult context putting severe pressure on both revenue and capital budgets. The context includes:

Absorbing increased pension costs within services;

Inflation rises above the normal measure of price increases, particularly energy;

Increasing demand for services and improving standards;

New responsibilities which are not always fully funded at a local level, for example, free bus travel for the over 60s;

Pressures within Social Services;

A current capital programme that relies on substantial unsupported borrowing and is experiencing falling housing capital receipts;

A grant settlement that has clawed back £3.4m of a £4.6m grant increase in 2006/07 under the Government's new funding formula; and

The Government's expectation that Council Tax rises will be on average less than 5% in each of the next two years. The Local Government Minister has stated: "We have provided a stable and predictable funding basis for local services. We expect Local Government to respond positively as far as council tax is concerned. 85.. we expect to see average council tax increases in each of the next two years of less than 5%. There is, following today's announcement, no excuse for excessive increases. Local Government should be under no illusions; if there are excessive increases, we will take capping action - as we have done over the last two years."

In addition, our proposals for the budget, the future financial plan and the level of reserves need to reflect the exceptional pressures and risks facing the Council. These include:

The cost of approved major projects.

The probability of having to charge Bath Spa claims management costs to revenue in 2005-06 and in future years.

The reliance on £15m of receipts in 2006-07 to reduce unsupported borrowing.

The potential costs of single status in 2007-08 both in terms of back pay and ongoing costs.

The revenue and capital budget proposals recognise that:

The Council cannot afford that it would wish to do both in terms of its services and the development of the area.

The Council needs to address and recognise the major risks within the revenue and capital budgets.

The Council needs to strike a difficult balance between the interests of service users, visitors, those who work in the area, residents and the Council Tax payer.

The approach to the budget and financial plan reflect these issues by:

Reducing the level of services in some areas.

Adjusting the current capital programme and adding only schemes that are unavoidable or that provide the minimum level of development activity until additional capital resources are available.

Requiring all services to meet financial plan targets plus a further£1.4m reduction to meet the Government expectation of a 5% Council Tax rise.

Developing contingency plans to cover the major risks associated with anticipating£15m of capital receipts and Spa Claims management costs.

Increasing reserves to help deal with the heightened period of risk during the next 3 years.

The proposed revenue budget for 2006/07 represents:

A £10.3m or 5.98% cash increase in the total budget including schools. On a like-for-like basis (adjusting for transfers of funds and funding for new responsibilities.) the increase is£7.8m or 4.5%.

a £4.6m or 4.9% cash increase in the non-schools budget over the equivalent budget in 2005/06 which is£63.2m or 3.4% on a like-for-like basis.

a £5.7m or 7.2% cash increase in the schools budget over 2005/06, which is£4.6m or 5.8% on a like-for-like basis.

A 4.95% Council Tax increase of £48.99 p.a. for a Band D property (or 94 pence per week) which excludes Police, Fire and Parish precepts..

Financial Plan targets for 2007-08 and 2008-09 remain in place. The cumulative effect of these targets will require the Council to focus on priorities and may involve reductions in the levels of service unless offset by major efficiency savings.

In order to reach a 4.95% Council Tax increase in 2007/08 and 2008-09 significant savings will need to be made in both years - £1.6m in 2007-08 and £1.2m in 2008-09. This is in addition to securing savings to fund:

Any cost of single status.

The transitional revenue costs of the WorkSMART initiative.

The waste strategy.

Absorbing service pressures (which in 2006/07 amounted to£9m).

Continuing to improve performance in the key priorities of the Council.

This represents a significant challenge to the Council. The outlook for 2007/08 and 2008/09 will be as tough as it has been in developing the budget for 2006/07.

Exceptional Items

Bath Spa Claims Management Costs

The Council's external auditors have questioned the Council's ability to capitalise Bath Spa Management Costs. The Office of the Deputy Prime Minster has, on three occasions, rejected the Council's application for a capitalisation direction and declined a meeting with the Council. The Council Executive is considering taking Counsel's Opinion on the matter and will continue to ask to meet the relevant Minister.

Notwithstanding Counsel's Opinion, the Council needs to have a fallback position on funding Spa Claims Management Costs from revenue in 2005-06 and in future years.

The draft budget includes the following proposal in respect of 2005-06 as a contingency.

Spa Claims Management Costs - 2005-06: Capital and Revenue

 

£'000

Total Budget 2005-06 for Spa Claims Management (as approved by Council 17th November 2005)

3,107

Less: Items chargeable to capital

Contingency in 2005-06

892

220

Net amount potentially chargeable to revenue

1,995

Proposed Funding:

 

Reduction in earmarked reserves

Reduction in revenue contributions to capital

Saving from not capitalising costs

Further capitalisation of IT spend covered by revenue reserves

Other capitalisation (Maintenance & Social Services Equipment)

759

136

80

610

410

Total Funding required from Revenue

1,995

The effect of this fallback position on the capital programme is demonstrated below:

 

Impact on Revenue Budget

£'000

Impact on Capital Budget

£'000

Increase to Revenue/Capital Budgets

1,995

-1,995

Funding for fallback position

   

Earmarked Reserves no longer required

-788

-

Reduction in revenue contributions to capital

-136

136

Saving from reduced capital funding

-40

-

Capitalisation of IT spend to be funded from revenue reserves

-610

610

Other capitalisation or spend in revenue budget

-421

421

Net position

NIL

-828

For future years, the costs of defending and/or pursuing claims is difficult to estimate as it depends as much on the actions of third parties as well as the Council. It is proposed that:

The level of revenue reserves be increased at every opportunity, including the revenue savings arising from the proposed adjustments in the capital programme (which will add£251k in 2007-08 and £473k in 2008-09 to resources).

Any draw down on reserves for Spa Claims Management Cost in excess of the above amounts be repaid to reserves over 3 years beginning in the year after drawdown and that this is added to savings targets for services in future years.

The Council make no further calls on the revenue reserves except to fund major risks identified in the revenue and capital budgets where these cannot be dealt with through management or policy actions.

The net outcome of the claims by or against the Council cannot anticipated. The recommendations of the Resources Director on the level of capital contingency reflects this and other risks and is accepted by the Executive.

£15m of Capital Receipts Reducing Unsupported Borrowing in 2006-07

The revenue budget reflects the following achievement of capital receipts:

£5.2m p.a. between 2006-07 to 2008-09 of general receipts and£1m of Housing Receipts.

£15m of exceptional receipts before 31 March 2006 to reduce unsupported borrowing. This represents a major risk.

The Council needs to be aware that:

If sales of £5.2m p.a. are not achieved for any reason the capital programme will have to be adjusted further to our proposals in Section 2 below.

The contingency plan if the £15m of exceptional receipts are not achieved is for the Council to use a revenue reserve of£806k for IT replacements, to capitalise the IT spend and to use £620k of reserves for one year only while alternative receipts are identified and achieved during 2006-07 and reserves restored in 2006/07 and 2007/08.

Single Status

No additional provision has been made for the ongoing cost of implementing the single status agreement. Any additional costs over and above offsetting savings agreed with the trade unions will have to be met by reductions in services and increases in fees and charges.

The cost of single status back pay is not known until negotiations with the trade unions are completed. It is proposed that any Local Public Service Agreement (LPSA) revenue reward grant is earmarked to contribute to any costs. It is also proposed that any excess is covered by reserves with a commitment to repay those reserves over 3 years. This will be in addition to financial plan targets and any requirement to recover reserves in the light of other risks. This will put even more pressure on the revenue budget in 2007/08 and future years.

The exceptional items above represent a heightened risk within the Council's budgets and on the Council's reserves. These exceptional risks (over and above the normal service risks), if they all crystallise may mean calls on reserves which could reduce the Council's reserves to NIL by March 2008. This is both an unacceptable position and will call into serious question the Council's financial standing.

The Executive therefore supports strongly the Resources Director's recommendations on the Reserves Strategy and the careful management of these issues by Members and officers during 2006-07 and future years. This also recognises that, if all these exceptional risks materialise, it will require significant service reductions to retain the Council's financial standing.

Revenue Budget Proposal

We are recommending a net revenue budget for 2006/07 of £182.182m. Table 1 and Annex 2 to this Appendix show the build-up of the recommended 2006/07 revenue budget, compared to the current year.

Table 1: High Level Build-up of the 2006/07 Budget (detail in Annex 1)

Description

£'000

Base Budget Cash Limit for 2005/06

171,906

Assumed savings within draft Financial Plan and Service and Resource Plans

(484)

Proposed 2006/07 Draft Financial Plan Items - revenue effect of the 2006/07 Financial Plan compared to 2005/06 (excl pay and prices)

4,489

Financial Plan provision for pay & prices increase (excl Education and Social Services as are within cash limit increases)

1,429

Items proposed to be added to the plan (Annex 1)

Change in Dedicated Schools Grant (including transfers of funding from specific grants)

5,691

Free Bus Passes for the over 60s

741

Social Services Specific Grants transferred to mainstream funding

667

Additional Savings

(3,014)

Additional Funding added:

 

Environment Agency resulting from amalgamation of Drainage Boards

95

Save to Invest (WorkSMART)

192

Social Services (funding above financial plan targets)

470

Recommended Revenue Budget 2006/07

182,182

In recommending the overall revenue budget, we are also asking Council to approve the individual service cash limits for 2006/07. These are shown in Annex 2 to this Appendix and include continuation of financial plan targets for a further 2 years.

Section 2 - The Capital Budget for 2006/07

The Council Executive's proposals for the capital programme and formulated in the context of:

An ambitious capital programme over a short period of time.

Falling housing capital receipts (and the unanticipated requirement recently notified to the Council that 75% of Right to Buy receipts need to be returned to the Government - "pooling" from 2004-05).

A relatively high level of unsupported borrowing compared to other unitary councils.

The Council's Prudential Indicators.

The principles governing our approach to the capital programme have been:

At a minimum, not to increase unsupported borrowing above its current levels and to reduce unsupported borrowing wherever possible although, given the Council's commitments, the scope for reducing unsupported borrowing on the current capital programme is limited.

To limit new commitments to the absolute essential items until significant additional resources become available.

Where net savings are reflected in the revenue budget through these measures, to increase the Council's contributions to reserves in order to maximise reserves over the heightened period of risk the Council is facing over the next 3 years.

Integrating the cost of unsupported borrowing within services' revenue budgets and financial plan targets.

On this basis the Council Executive is recommending adjustments in the current capital programme of £1.2m in 2005-06; £5.2m in 2006-07; £4.7m in 2007-08 and £7.4m in 2008-09. However, it should be noted that:

Although the capital provision for certain activities is not provided for corporately this does not mean the activity will not continue if the relevant service can fund the revenue effects of the borrowing. This applies to WorkSMART, highways maintenance, Headroom and Income Generation/Sustainability.

In certain instances the Council can achieve the same objective via different means, for example, affordable housing being achieved through development.

Annex 3 to this Appendix contains our recommendations on new schemes divided into four categories:

Those schemes that are recommended and included in the proposed programme;

Those schemes that are recommended in principle on the condition that the service meets the capital financing costs of unsupported borrowing (at£95,000 per £1m borrowed in a full year for 25 years).

Those schemes and programmes that need further options appraisal; and

Those schemes that are not recommended at this stage.

The implications of this approach are that:

The WorkSMART project needs to identify up-front savings over and above those built into the financial plan to proceed.

Heritage Services will need to demonstrate the ability to fund unsupported borrowing and to maintain its income within current budgets and some tough targets for reductions.

Operations - there are a number of schemes that are subject to the cost of unsupported borrowing being met within current budgets and financial plan targets

The aspirations of the Council in relation to Education projects being contained within Government allocations plus a£600k p.a. provision for planned maintenance.

Proposals for efficiency savings/additional income that require related capital investment being funded from revenue savings.

The revenue costs of service aspirations for capital investment being funded from revenue budgets and financial plan targets or additional capital receipts.

Provision for development work is sufficient to keep projects ongoing and any further significant investment is subject to additional capital receipts or other capital resources, the use of which will need to be balanced with service capital needs and reducing unsupported borrowing.

Investment in Waste Services needs to balance performance against penalties, additional capital receipts and an options appraisal including alternative forms of provision.

In addition, the Council Executive recommends that the EPH programme continues within the financial parameters approved by the Council in November 2005 and that direct provision of the service is reviewed as part of the Council's integration with the PCT in the context of the Government's objective for clear roles in commissioning and provision and other capital investment priorities. The cost of the programme and a review of associated receipts is close to completion. It is proposed that our budget proposals are updated for this review in order that Council may consider the issue as part of the budget.

This programme is recommended in the context of the outlook on capital projects reported to Council in November 2005.

The proposed programme assumes total capital payments and funding of £42.2m in 2006/07 as shown in Table 2. Table 2 also shows the indicative capital programme and funding at summary level for 2007/08 and 2008/09. Annex 4 shows the total capital programme for 2006/07 and indicative programmes for 2007/08 and 2008/09 in more detail.

Table 2: Summary Capital Programme and Financing 2005/06-2008/09

Heading

2005/06 £'000

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £000

Total £'000

Education

14,564

8,396

8,097

5,608

36,665

Social Services

6,551

16,022

4,734

100

27,407

Transport

6,536

6,312

6,312

5,012

24,172

Planned Maintenance, Disabled Access & Commercial Estate

2,885

2,029

1,690

1,690

8,294

Major Projects

13,238

788

2,346

2,409

18,781

All Other Schemes

3,560

1,556

1,493

525

7,134

Contingency

1,343

1,427

2,410

500

5,680

Housing

4,925

5,676

2,980

2,980

16,561

TOTAL SPEND

53,602

42,206

30,062

18,824

144,694

Government Supported Borrowing

11,886

7,984

8,182

7,862

35,914

Government Grant

7,922

4,569

5,498

2,738

20,727

Third Party Contributions

4,082

4,208

2,564

0

10,854

Council Unsupported Borrowing

7,136

12,705

4,468

1,604

25,913

Council Unsupported Borrowing funded directly by service

0

1,285

1,285

485

3,055

Council - Accumulated Capital Receipts (including £1m RTB receipts)

22,370

11,355

8,065

6,135

47,925

Council - Revenue & Reserves

206

100

0

0

306

TOTAL FUNDING

53,602

42,206

30,062

18,824

144,694

The revenue budget for 2006/07 and the Financial Plan for 2007/08 and 2008/09 provide fully for the revenue consequences of the Council-supported expenditure. The level of unsupported borrowing required over the period is still very high, and will continue to put serious pressure on the revenue budget in future years. The capital review reduces this to some extent. It is proposed that the capital review addresses whether the first call on exceptional receipts beyond the challenging £5.2m built into the programme should be used to further reduce unsupported borrowing in the next two years. If any receipts are forthcoming from the commercial estates review the use of these should be put to the Council in the context of balancing new demands for capital investment and further reducing unsupported borrowing. We recognise the scale of the Council's commitments and our recommendations to full Council are aimed to contain and relieve the medium term pressure.

2006/07 is the third year of the new Prudential Code for Capital, introduced as part of the Local Government Act 2003. The Code gives considerable freedom to Councils to set their own capital spending programmes subject to the responsibility to demonstrate that plans are affordable over the planning period. Prudential Indicators are reported separately for approval.

Table 2 also demonstrates that as a result of the proposals a reduction in unsupported borrowing of £36m can be achieved to take unsupported borrowing from £65m to £29m while accommodating £3.7m of new priorities. However, this relies on the Council and Council Executive:

Having the will to realise major capital receipts to achieve its ambitious programme subject to this always being consistent with best consideration.

Limiting future commitments unless significant additional receipts or other capital resources are achieved and even then that the use of such resources are balanced with reducing debt.

Our recommendations are conditional upon these factors.

Section 3 - Revenue & Capital Reserves and Contingencies

Unearmarked Revenue Balances

We recommend the Resources Director's report on the adequacy of reserves which provides a reserves strategy to increase non-earmarked General Fund reserves from £5.2m in 2005/06 to £7.7m-£8.0m by 2008/09 as shown in Table 3 below.

Table 3: Projected Non-Earmarked Revenue Reserves

 

2006

£'000

2007

£'000

2008

£'000

Estimated Reserves @ 1st April each year

5.2

6.1-6.4

6.8-7.1

Contribution included in the Financial Plan

0.4

0.4

0.4

"Unearmarking" of Earmarked Reserves

0.2

-

-

Projected Underspend 2005/06

0.3-0.6

-

-

Additional Contributions from adjustments in the Capital Programme

-

0.3

0.5

Estimated Range of Reserves @ 31st March each year

6.1-6.4

6.8-7.1

7.7-8.0

This recommendation is made on condition that the Council and the Council Executive:

Take every opportunity to maximise reserves.

Reject any further calls on reserves other than for those risks that have been identified or are unforeseen.

That where there is a draw down on reserves this is paid back within 3 years recognising that this will put further pressure on the revenue budget.

A reconciliation of reserves is contained in Annex 5.

Capital Risk Contingency

In the last financial plan, the need for around £20m in capital risk contingency was identified, although some of this was included in the capital programme and a large proportion relied on the sale of additional capital assets should the need arise. The Resources Director is advising the Council that a capital contingency of around £15m would be prudent over the plan period of which £10m does not need to be cash backed at this stage. The plan currently allows for some £5m to be included in the capital programme over the period. In addition the major projects programme includes contingencies of £5m for general schemes and £34m for the Combe Down Stone Mines. The latter contingency is within English Partnerships funding for the scheme and as such is not a Council resource.

Unearmarked Revenue Reserves

The Local Government Act 2003 contains a duty on the statutory finance officer to report to the Council, at the time the budget is considered and the council tax set, on the robustness of the budget estimates and the adequacy of financial reserves. The report of the Resources Director on this subject is included as Annex 6 to this report and is recommended to the Council. We have drawn upon the report in putting our budget proposals to the Council. The conditions of the report by the Resources Director are an integral part of our recommendations.

Section 4 - Additional Information

In this section we provide additional information on specific aspects of our proposed budget.

Social Services and Education spending

The original Corporate Plan contained strategies for creating Financial and Organisational Headroom and Capacity, including financial targets for education and social services that will, over time, reflect a tempering of the rate of growth so that the gap between spending and the government's Formula Spending Share is narrowed to enable local income to fund local priorities.

Education

The introduction of the Dedicated Schools grant (DSG) removes significant flexibility from the Council to reflect local priorities in its budget. The financial plan included tempering growth in Education which is now not possible at a cost of £700k.

We also recognise that there is still a need to improve the condition of school buildings. The Council Executive has, due to the clawback of grant, been unable to implement its plan to reinvest gains from the move to DSG into investment in school buildings. It is, however, proposed to maintain £600k p.a. of capital funding for planned maintenance over 3 years and to reconsider the strategy as the new funding arrangements unfold but taking into account other priorities.

Social Services

As with Education, the Corporate Plan envisaged a tempering in the rate of growth in Social Services so that, over time, the gap between spending and the government's norm (93FSS94) is narrowed. With the demise of FSS this is difficult to measure.

In terms of financial plan targets the recommended Social Services budget for 2006/07 is £470k above original financial plan targets which includes £100k to fund the integration project with the PCT.

Service Improvement Priorities

The Corporate Plan identifies our key improvement priorities. Its financial strategy also makes clear that financial headroom will be allocated towards the improvement priorities.

Regrettably, given the financial situation, this has not been possible in 2006/07. Any redirection of resources to corporate priorities has had to be within financial plan targets plus the £1.4m additional target to meet a 5% Council Tax rise. This has left no headroom available to redirect resources corporately.

Value for Money

The Council Executive accepts the Council's external auditors' conclusion that it needs to evidence a more strategic view of value for money and that the Council is clear that where higher costs are identified that these are justified by:

Particular and significant local circumstances; and /or

A conscious decision to spend more to achieve better performance against local and national priorities, and that this performance is achieved.

To this end the Council Executive recommends to Council that a high level review of cost and performance is undertaken and reported to the Executive to identify high cost/low performing/lower priority services. This should initially be based on the Audit Commission's Value for Money profile and supplemented by additional analysis of cost and performance by Directors and Heads of Service.

The proposal is that this be:

Reported to the Council Executive by July 2006.

That the outcomes of the review inform the budget and service planning for 2007/08 onwards in the context of the various initiatives of the Council.

That the focus of the review identifies high cost services and links cost to higher performance in priority services. If this is not the case the Council will need to focus its planning on services that are high cost and/or medium/low performing and/or low priority.

Section 5 - Council Tax

This section shows the implications of the recommended revenue budget for Council Tax levels for 2006/07.

In the financial plan we recognise that our plans must be affordable to local people. In preparing the revenue budget we have sought to minimise the impact on Council Tax payers.

Our proposal is for an increase in Council Tax of 4.95%. This should be seen in the context of below average Council Tax rises over the last 3 years, an overall Council Tax that is slightly below the unitary average, and the Government's clear warnings about capping. Table 4 explains the calculation of this figure:

Table 4: COUNCIL TAX 2006-07

Description

Amount

Comments

Recommended Net Revenue Budget (£k)

182,182

See Annex 1 & 2

Less Grant and estimate of Collection Fund deficit £k

116,430

 

To be funded by Council Tax (£k)

65,752

 

Tax base (Band D properties equivalent)

63,319.76

Approved by Resources Director in January 2006

Recommended Council Tax at Band D for 2006/07 (£)

1,038.41

 

2005-06 Council Tax Band D £

989.42

 

Recommended Increase

£48.99

4.95% increase

The figures above exclude parish, fire and police precepts.

This Council collects Council Tax on the behalf of the parishes, Fire and Police Authorities and the final bills issued will include the Council Tax they have requested this Council to collect. These will form part of the Council's overall budget-setting resolution.

At the time of writing no information was available from Avon and Somerset Police Authority about its proposed rises in its precept and Council Tax. This is due to be considered by the Police Authority on 14th February 2006.

At its meeting on 13th January 2006 Avon Fire Authority considered its budget. The report indicated an increase in Council Tax of around 16.75% to meet their budget requirement. However, the Fire Authority will be considering its budget again on 17th February 2006. The Authority requires £2m of saving to reach a Council Tax rise in line with the Government's 5% expectation. If the Authority is capped, the Council is examining its options to charge the Authority for rebilling residents.

The headline increase will be affected by the final decisions of the parishes, Fire and Police Authorities, and any decision made concerning special expenses (see below).

Given this Council's history of lower than average Council tax rises it is considered unlikely that the Deputy Prime Minister will seek to use capping powers in respect of Bath and North East Somerset if the Council approves a Council Tax rise of 4.95% in 2006/07 and indicates its intention to deliver a less than 5% increase in 2007/08.

Table 5 sets out the composite Council Tax likely to be charged:

Table 5: Potential Total Council Tax 2006/07

Council Tax charges (Band D) made by

Charge made now 2005/06 £

Proposed Charge 2006/07 £

% increase

Bath and North East Somerset Council

989.42

1,038.41

4.95% (£48.99 at Band D)

Avon and Somerset Police (indicative)

-

-

Not known at time of writing

Avon Fire Brigade (indicative)

-

-

Not known at time of writing

Total excluding parishes

-

-

Not known at time of writing

Parishes (average)

-

-

Not known at time of writing

Total

-

-

Not known at time of writing

This will be updated for the Council meeting on 21st February 2006 and will form a part of the Council Tax setting resolution.

Special Expenses

As part of the 2005/06 Budget preparation process the Council approved that no special expenses be declared (with the exception of Parish and Town Council precepts). It is proposed that this policy continues.

Section 6 - Summary of Recommendations to Council

Our recommendations to Council will be (these will be set out in a covering report to Council):

1. That the Council approve:

a) The General Fund revenue budget for 2006/07 of £182.182m and the associated Council Tax increase of 4.95%.

b) That no Special Expenses be charged other than Town and Parish Council precepts for 2006/07.

c) That no use be made of non-earmarked revenue reserves in 2006/07 to finance General Fund revenue expenditure.

d) The individual service cash limits for 2006/07 contained in Annex 2 to the budget proposal.

2. That the Council include the Local Precepts of Town and Parish Councils and those of the Fire and Police Authorities in its Council Tax setting.

3. That the Council acknowledges the Section 151 officer's report on the robustness of the proposed budget and the adequacy of the Council's reserves (Appendix 3, Annex 6) and approves the conditions upon which the recommendations are made as set out throughout Appendix 3.

4. That in relation to the capital budget the Council:

a) approves a capital payments budget of £42.206m for 2006/07 (excluding further slippage from 2005/06) as shown in Appendix 3, Annex 4, including the adjustments proposed in Appendix 2 (Table 2) and the additions to the programme proposed Appendix 3, Annex 3.

b) notes the indicative capital payments budgets of £30.062m in 2007/08 and £18.824m in 2008/09 as shown in Appendix 3 Annex 4, and agrees that any further additions to the programme are subject to additional capital resources (government or third party funding and/or capital receipts) and an evaluation of the balance of benefits from additional capital investment and further reducing unsupported borrowing in the light of future years' revenue budget pressures.

c) notes the continuing work on the Capital Programme Review due to be reported to the June meeting of the Council Executive as set out in paragraph 4.6 and 4.7 of Appendix 2 to the Report to the Executive.

5. The Council approves a high level review of the cost and performance of services be carried out and reported to the Council Executive in July 2006 to inform consideration of value for money and service and financial planning for 2007/08 onwards.

6. That the Council instruct Executive Members to finalise their revenue and capital budgets for 2006/07 within the cash limits and amounts set by Council, for inclusion on the weekly decision list no later than April 2006 (as part of the approval of Service and Resource Plans).

7. Authorise the Interim Head of Finance and Resource Planning, in consultation with the Executive Members (Resources) and the Leader of the Council, to make presentational improvements to the draft Budget Proposal prior to submission to Council and to include an update on the EPH programme as required by the Council at its meeting in November 2005.

8. That the Council request the Council Executive and the Resources Overview and Scrutiny Panel to consider how Councillors can be more involved in developing the budget in the context of the Council's Corporate and Financial Plan.

Annex 3 to Appendix 3 Additions to the Capital Programme

1: New items recommended to be added to Capital Programme

Scheme

Est. Total Gross Cost £'000

Est. Total Income (third party) £'000

Est. Total Net cost £'000

Phasing of net cost

Notes

       

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £'000

2009/10 onward £'000

 

Spa Additional Costs

1,277

1,277

1,277

As reported in response to a question from a Member to the Executive 11th January 2006.

Bath Spring Water Strategy

314

314

75

77

80

82

Essential to maintain supply.

Commercial Estate Options Review

250

250

250

Part of the Council's Strategy to generate receipts and value from the estate.

WorkSMART: Work from Anywhere Pilot Scheme

57

57

57

Minimal provision to test savings from WorkSMART.

Revenues & Benefits: The EDRMS system used is an old version of COMINO software and does require upgrading within 12 months. The Council is also evaluating a corporate EDRMS system and the service must decide whether to upgrade or join the corporate solution. Either option will incur significant Capital costs to implement.

170

170

170

To be reviewed as part of the WorkSMART initiative which includes a corporate EDRMS.

Upgrade Agresso main system

100

100

50

50

Essential to retain supplier support to the system.

St John's Catholic Primary School - capital grant facilitating site for school

500

500

500

As part of a larger scheme to reprovide the school as no other suitable alternative site can be identified.

Bath package major scheme bid - phase 1 bus priority & Lambridge P&R

30,000

29,500

500

250

250

Anticipated that Dept for Transport (Dft) will fund substantial works, but some initial preparatory costs potentially required by council. Revenue costs include operator subsidy to new P&R, City Centre Assess system and Freight consolidation centre

Bath Rapid Transit / Newbridge park & Ride (Bath package phase 2).

30,000

29,500

500

250

250

Approx 85% DfT funding, with 15% developer contributions - with some preparatory works by the Council

Total

62,668

59,000

3,668

2,159

797

630

82

 

2: Recommended for inclusion in capital programme if revenue capital financing costs covered by service areas

Scheme

Est. Total Gross Cost £'000

Est. Total Income (third parts) £'000

Est. Total Net cost £'000

Phasing of net cost

Notes

       

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £'000

2009/10 onward £'000

 

Agresso Asset Register

60

60

10

50

Audit & Inspection Letter issue.

E-Procurement IT developments

150

150

100

50

To improve efficiency.

Evolution - upgrade to web version

25

25

25

Only if funded by service.

Roman Baths site development programme phase 1

847

0

847

847

Funds not to be committed until approved by Executive Members for Resources & Tourism, Leisure & Culture, the Resources Director and the Chief Executive.

Roman Baths site development programme phase 2

1,154

0

1,154

1,154

 

Roman Baths site development programme phase 3

1,893

0

1,893

1,893

 

Salt Barn

150

150

150

Necessary for compliance with Environment agency notice. Will yield £4K p.a. salt waste saving. To be committed only if service funded.

Haycombe Cremator Replacement

1,000

1,000

1,000

Business case to be drawn up but this will be required to continue trading. There are limited revenue budgets for financing but this is not like for like replacement as will comply with emissions regulations. This cost includes property costs and funding will be identified from reduced maintenance expenditure, currently incurred by Property Services Department. Sufficiency of resources to be assessed before commitment.

BEST: Replacement Vehicles

181

181

71

22

88

Revenue budget exists for prudential borrowing as an alternative to leasing. To be assessed further before commitment is made.

Scheme

Est. Total Gross Cost £'000

Est. Total Income (third parts) £'000

Est. Total Net cost £'000

Phasing of net cost

       

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £'000

2009/10 onward £'000

 

Commercial Services: Bus Fleet Vehicle replacements

1,163

1,163

150

150

553

310

This is to provide a sum for prudential borrowing limits. We will draw down as each asset is purchased, assessed against a lease option. Funding to be agreed with client services and assessed before a commitment is made.

Dial-a-ride buses for expansion

130

130

130

Indicative sum for prudential borrowing. To be committed only after assessing sufficient revenue resources within the service to fund borrowing.

Parking Attendants Handhelds

140

140

140

Required to accommodate Parkmobile and address Health & Safety concern from RSI. This is alternative to leasing. To be committed only after assessing sufficient revenue resources within the service to fund borrowing.

Leisure & Amenity Services: Vehicle & Plant Replacement

740

740

81

320

39

300

These could be financed by sale & lease back, but this sum is included so an option of prudential borrowing can be pursued. A business case will be made on purchase of each asset. To be committed only after assessing sufficient revenue resources within the service to fund borrowing.

Waste Services: Fleet vehicle replacements

2,129

2,129

962

778

129

260

Indicative allocation for prudential borrowing purposes only. Operational leases generally available for these assets. A business case for each asset purchase will determine the lease / borrow decision. To be committed only after assessing sufficient revenue resources within the service to fund borrowing.

Total

9,762

0

9,762

2,819

2,217

1,875

2,851

 

3: Items requiring preparation of a full Business Case, alternative options appraisal and review of alternative service provision before being considered for inclusion in capital programme.

Scheme

Est. Total Gross Cost £'000

Est. Total Income (third parts) £'000

Est. Total Net cost £'000

Phasing of net cost

Notes

       

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £'000

2009/10 onward £'000

 

WorkSMART Project

Refurbishment

2,250

0

2,250

1,326

28

896

2006/07 to develop full business plan and project plan and to identify savings to fund transitional revenue costs and identify capital receipts. Viability to be reviewed as part of 2007/08 service and financial planning process.

New Build

25,840

5,570

20,270

0

0

20,270

 

Non Property Costs - EDRMS

3,032

0

3,032

1,738

734

560

 

Data Centre

1,074

0

1,074

1,074

 

Training

264

0

264

264

 

Work from anywhere

511

0

511

511

 

other

1,213

1,213

621

392

200

 

Sub Total - WorkSMART Project

34,184

5,570

28,614

0

5,534

1,154

21,926

 

Windsor Bridge Transport Depot Replacement

1,000

1,000

1,000

Requires full Business Case and alternative options appraisal including a review of alternative methods of service delivery and sufficient revenue resources within the service to fund borrowing.

Replacement Bath Recycling Centre ( potentially Twerton Fork)

5,000

5,000

4,000

1,000

£5m capital receipt from Midland Road. This is full cost of scheme including land purchase and highways improvement. Full business case and alternative options appraisal required.

Transfer Station / Clean MRF / Waste Treatment Site

8,000

8,000

5,000

3,000

The scale depends on procurement strategy and whether direct waste treatment is pursued. However, to release Midland Road requires the relocation of core transfer operation. Full business case and alternative options appraisal required.

Total

48,184

5,570

42,614

0

10,534

7,154

24,926

 

4: Items not recommended

Scheme

Est. Total Gross Cost £'000

Est. Total Income (third parts) £'000

Est. Total Net cost £'000

Phasing of net cost

Notes

       

2006/07 £'000

2007/08 £'000

2008/09 £'000

2009/10 onward £'000

 

BWR - non JPC

1,942

1,942

350

515

530

546

Early years - design work and partnering and legal, and later years it is more monitoring work.

Development Board (note 1)

4,184

4,184

1,000

1,030

1,061

1,093

The creation and development of the Development Board and subordinate area developments (Bath, Keynsham , Norton Radstock) are at early stages

Bath Development (note 1)

2,427

720

1,707

400

417

435

454

Assuming a certain level of funding from developers and SWRDA. If this does materialise then we may require increased funds

Keynsham Development (note 1)

1,527

560

967

225

236

247

259

 

Norton Radstock Development (note 1)

1,276

160

1,116

265

274

284

293

 

Regional Spatial Strategy Master Planning (note 1)

508

508

250

258

Reconsider in future years.

Property Planned Maintenance programme. This item represents the shortfall in the current provision compared to the amount necessary to avoid a worsening of the condition of properties and consequent increased repair costs in later years.

630 (Annual Programme)

630 (Annual Programme)

630

630

630

630

Reconsider as part of Asset Management Planning review.

Unfunded in Financial Plan (Customer Access Prog)

128

128

99

29

0

 

Total

12,620

1,440

11,180

2,969

3,131

3,437

3,532

 
                 

Note 1 - Minimal approach recommended until further resources are available - £775k funding available within base capital budgets to fund this and to be funded from £330k underspend in Major Projects Management in 2005/06; £50k from carry forward of revenue budget 2005/06; £50k from revenue budget in 2006/07; £345k from base programme 2006/07.

APPENDIX 3 Annex 4 (i) Indicative 2006/07 Capital Programme & Funding Sources

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     
   

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

EDUCATION

         

         

Base programme

-

-

   

-

     

-

 

-

Bath Schools - sale of properties

-2,328,000

 

 

0

 

3,750,000

-6,078,000

-2,328,000

 

-2,328,000

Bath Schools - rephased from 05/06

3,800,000

           

3,800,000

3,800,000

 

3,800,000

New Pupil Places

538,782

 

538,782

 

538,782

         

538,782

Schools Access Initiative

298,868

 

298,868

 

298,868

         

298,868

Devolved Formula Grant

3,035,674

   

3,035,674

3,035,674

         

3,035,674

Additional Council allocation

600,000

     

0

   

600,000

600,000

 

600,000

Fosseway Special Refurbishment (Grant)

372,000

   

372,000

372,000

     

0

 

372,000

Newbuild Answers Project Keynsham (Grant)

       

0

     

0

 

0

NDS Modernisation

2,078,541

 

1,247,125

831,416

2,078,541

   

0

 

2,078,541

 

8,395,865

                 

8,395,865

                       

SOCIAL SERVICES

                     

Base programme

100,000

100,000

   

100,000

     

0

 

100,000

EPH's - rephased from 05/06

1,500,000

           

1,500,000

1,500,000

 

1,500,000

EPH's - further rephasing

5,786,000

           

5,786,000

5,786,000

 

5,786,000

EPH's (FP)

8,636,000

 

93,000

 

93,000

 

1,470,000

2,865,000

4,335,000

4,208,000

8,636,000

 

16,022,000

                 

16,022,000

                       

TRANSPORT

                     

TPP programme

4,762,000

4,762,000

   

4,762,000

     

0

 

4,762,000

Phase 1 - Bus Priority & Lambridge P&R scheme bid

250,000

           

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Phase 2 - Bath Rapid Transport / Newbridge P&R bid

250,000

           

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Increased repairs to carriageways (FP)

1,050,000

     

0

   

1,050,000

1,050,000

 

1,050,000

 

6,312,000

                 

6,312,000

                       

PROPERTY

                     

Base programme

320,000

     

0

   

320,000

320,000

 

320,000

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     
   

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

Planned Maintenance Rephased from 05/06

89,000

           

89,000

89,000

 

89,000

Land Registration Programme

35,000

           

35,000

35,000

 

35,000

Increased planned maintenance (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Risk assessment/disabled access (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Commercial Estate Options Review

250,000

           

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Property Development Work

135,000

           

135,000

135,000

 

135,000

Commercial estate development (FP)

200,000

     

0

   

200,000

200,000

 

200,000

 

2,029,000

                 

2,029,000

                       

RESOURCES

                     

IT servers & networks (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

                       

TRADING SERVICES

                     

c/fwd schemes

181,000

           

181,000

181,000

 

181,000

 

181,000

                 

181,000

CULTURE

                     

Theatre Royal Youth Grant - rephased

25,000

           

25,000

25,000

 

25,000

Invest to sustain (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

 

25,000

                 

25,000

                       

CORPORATE

                     

Western Riverside (including rephased from 2005/06)

1,099,000

0

   

0

   

1,099,000

1,099,000

 

1,099,000

Spa Scheme

-3,321,000

     

0

   

-3,321,000

-3,321,000

 

-3,321,000

Bath Spring Water Strategy

75,000

           

75,000

75,000

 

75,000

Bath Development Board

775,000

       

100,000

 

675,000

775,000

 

775,000

Major Project Management

1,960,000

     

0

   

1,960,000

1,960,000

 

1,960,000

Customer services (FP)

50,000

     

0

   

50,000

50,000

 

50,000

Stone Mines (FP)

200,000

     

0

   

200,000

200,000

 

200,000

WorkSMART - Work from Anywhere Pilot Scheme

57,000

           

57,000

57,000

 

57,000

Purchase sports centre freehold - slippage

750,000

           

750,000

750,000

 

750,000

Norton Radstock Regeneration (NRR)

61,000

           

61,000

61,000

 

61,000

Southgate

272,800

     

0

   

272,800

272,800

 

272,800

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     
   

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

Headroom Creation

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Income Sustainability

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Members Discretion

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Play (own equipment & parish grants)

150,000

     

0

   

150,000

150,000

 

150,000

Community Safety CCTV - rephasing

9,000

           

9,000

9,000

 

9,000

Unallocated base programme (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Other

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Contingency

1,427,000

   

0

   

1,427,000

1,427,000

 

1,427,000

 

3,564,800

                 

3,564,800

                       

HOUSING

                     

Base programme

3,024,000

944,000

 

330,000

1,274,000

   

1,750,000

1,750,000

 

3,024,000

Base programme - rephased

2,652,000

           

2,652,000

2,652,000

 

2,652,000

Additional Council Allocation

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

 

5,676,000

                 

5,676,000

 

TOTAL

42,205,665

5,806,000

2,177,775

4,569,090

12,552,865

100,000

5,220,000

20,124,800

25,444,800

4,208,000

42,205,665

APPENDIX 3 Annex 4 (ii) Indicative 2007/08 Capital Programme & Funding Sources

   

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

EDUCATION

         

         

New Pupil Places

546,983

 

546,983

 

546,983

         

546,983

Schools Access Initiative

298,868

 

298,868

 

298,868

         

298,868

Devolved Formula Grant

3,205,901

   

3,205,901

3,205,901

         

3,205,901

Additional Council allocation

600,000

           

600,000

600,000

 

600,000

NDS Modernisation

2,118,290

 

1,482,803

635,487

2,118,290

   

0

 

2,118,290

Fosseway Special Refurbishment (Grant)

1,327,000

   

1,327,000

1,327,000

     

0

 

1,327,000

Newbuild Answers Project Keynsham (Grant)

0

     

0

     

0

 

0

 

8,097,042

                 

8,097,042

                       

SOCIAL SERVICES

                     

Base programme

100,000

100,000

   

100,000

     

0

 

100,000

EPH's (FP)

4,634,000

 

91,000

 

91,000

 

1,930,000

49,000

1,979,000

2,564,000

4,634,000

 

4,734,000

                 

4,734,000

                       

TRANSPORT

                     

TPP programme

4,762,000

4,762,000

   

4,762,000

     

0

 

4,762,000

Phase 1 - Bus Priority & Lambridge P&R scheme bid

250,000

     

0

   

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Phase 2 - Bath Rapid Transport / Newbridge P&R bid

250,000

     

0

   

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Increased repairs to carriageways (FP)

1,050,000

     

0

   

1,050,000

1,050,000

 

1,050,000

 

6,312,000

                 

6,312,000

                       

PROPERTY

                     

Base programme

320,000

     

0

   

320,000

320,000

 

320,000

Land Registration Programme

35,000

     

0

   

35,000

35,000

 

35,000

Increased planned maintenance (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Risk assessment/disabled access (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Property Development Work (fund from cap recpts)

135,000

           

135,000

135,000

 

135,000

   

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

Commercial estate development (FP)

200,000

     

0

   

200,000

200,000

 

200,000

 

1,690,000

                 

1,690,000

RESOURCES

                     

Revs & Bens - EDRMS Solution

170,000

     

0

   

170,000

170,000

 

170,000

Agresso Main System update

50,000

           

50,000

50,000

 

50,000

 

220,000

                 

220,000

                       

CORPORATE

                     

Western Riverside (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Customer services (FP)

50,000

     

0

   

50,000

50,000

 

50,000

Stone Mines (FP)

250,000

     

0

   

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Major Project Management

2,019,000

           

2,019,000

2,019,000

 

2,019,000

Bath Spring Water Strategy

77,000

           

77,000

77,000

 

77,000

Long Term Office Accommodation

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Southgate

272,800

     

0

   

272,800

272,800

 

272,800

Public Service Agreement

800,000

           

800,000

800,000

 

800,000

Headroom Creation

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Income Sustainability

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Members Discretion

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Play (own equipment & parish grants)

150,000

     

0

   

150,000

150,000

 

150,000

Other

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Unallocated base programme (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Contingency

2,410,000

   

0

   

2,410,000

2,410,000

 

2,410,000

 

6,028,800

                 

6,028,800

                       

HOUSING

                     

Base programme

2,980,000

900,000

 

330,000

1,230,000

   

1,750,000

1,750,000

 

2,980,000

Additional Council Allocation

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

 

2,980,000

                 

2,980,000

 

TOTAL

30,061,842

5,762,000

2,419,654

5,498,388

13,680,042

0

1,930,000

11,887,800

13,817,800

2,564,000

30,061,842

APPENDIX 3 Annex 4 (iii) Indicative 2008/09 Capital Programme & Funding Sources

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     
   

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

EDUCATION

         

         

Base programme

1,400,000

1,400,000

   

1,400,000

     

0

 

1,400,000

Additional Council allocation

600,000

     

0

   

600,000

600,000

 

600,000

NDS Modernisation

700,000

 

700,000

 

700,000

   

0

 

700,000

St John's Catholic Primary (Facilitating Site)

500,000

           

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Fosseway Special Refurbishment (Grant)

2,408,000

   

2,408,000

2,408,000

     

0

 

2,408,000

Newbuild Answers Project Keynsham (Grant)

0

     

0

     

0

 

0

 

5,608,000

                 

5,608,000

                       

SOCIAL SERVICES

                     

Base programme

100,000

100,000

   

100,000

     

0

 

100,000

EPH's

0

     

0

 

0

0

0

0

0

 

100,000

                 

100,000

                       

TRANSPORTATION

                     

TPP programme

4,762,000

4,762,000

   

4,762,000

     

0

 

4,762,000

Increased repairs to carriageways (FP)

250,000

     

0

   

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

 

5,012,000

                 

5,012,000

                       

PROPERTY

                     

Base programme

320,000

     

0

   

320,000

320,000

 

320,000

Land Registration Programme

35,000

           

35,000

35,000

 

35,000

Increased planned maintenance (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Risk assessment/disabled access (FP)

500,000

     

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

Property Development Work (fund from cap recpts)

135,000

           

135,000

135,000

 

135,000

Commercial estate development (FP)

200,000

     

0

   

200,000

200,000

 

200,000

 

1,690,000

                 

1,690,000

                       

CAPITAL SCHEME

 

<--

Gvmt

-->

 

<--

Council

-->

     
   

BCA

Supported

Grant

Total Gvmt

Revenue

Receipts

Non-Specific

Total Council

3rd Party

TOTAL

     

Borrowing

               

RESOURCES

                     

Agresso Main System update

50,000

     

0

   

50,000

50,000

 

50,000

                       

CORPORATE

                     

Western Riverside (FP)

0

0

   

0

   

0

0

 

0

Customer services (FP)

50,000

     

0

   

50,000

50,000

 

50,000

Stone Mines (FP)

250,000

     

0

   

250,000

250,000

 

250,000

Major Project Management

2,079,000

           

2,079,000

2,079,000

 

2,079,000

Bath Spring Water Strategy

80,000

           

80,000

80,000

 

80,000

Southgate

274,800

     

0

   

274,800

274,800

 

274,800

Unallocated base programme (FP)

0

     

0

   

0

0

 

0

Play

150,000

           

150,000

150,000

 

150,000

Contingency

500,000

   

0

   

500,000

500,000

 

500,000

 

3,383,800

                 

3,383,800

                       

HOUSING

                     

Base programme

2,980,000

900,000

 

330,000

1,230,000

   

1,750,000

1,750,000

 

2,980,000

                       
 

TOTAL

18,823,800

7,162,000

700,000

2,738,000

10,600,000

0

0

8,223,800

8,223,800

0

18,823,800

Annex 6 to Appendix 3

Chief Financial Officers' Opinion on Adequacy of Balances and the Robustness of the Budget

The Chief Financial Officer is required to make a statement on the adequacy of reserves and the robustness of the budget. This is a statutory duty under section 25 of the 2003 Local Government Act which states the following:

(1) Where an authority to which section 32 or 43 of the Local Government Finance Act 1992 (billing or major Precepting authority) or section 85 of the Greater London Authority Act 1999 (c. 29) (Greater London Authority) applies is making calculations in accordance with that section, the chief finance officer of the authority must report to it on the following matters-

(a) The robustness of the estimates made for the purposes of the calculations, and

(b) The adequacy of the proposed financial reserves.

(2) An authority to which a report under this section is made shall have regard to the report when making decisions about the calculations in connection with which it is made.

Summary Report of the Resources Director (as Chief Finance Officer for the Authority)

I have examined the budget proposals contained in this report, and believe that whilst the spending and service delivery proposals contained within are even more challenging than ever before, they are nevertheless achievable and deliverable given the political will to implement the changes, good management, sound financial and performance monitoring, and initiatives to support and enable more efficient working practices are delivered. I am satisfied that the requisite management processes exist within the Council to deliver this budget, and to identify and deal with any problems which may unexpectedly arise throughout the year.

However, the corporate and financial plan relies to a much greater degree on the delivery of strategies and action plans within individual service and financial plans and it will therefore be necessary to give much higher priority to the monitoring and review of these plans in the performance management processes of the Council.

The level of exposure and commitment in our capital programme in the coming years remains particularly challenging. Solid monitoring, review and programming of schemes will need to be enhanced, as will individual project management processes in order to properly manage and control the whole programme within financial tolerances.

On the matter of general reserves, I have continued to adopt the approach to evidence the requisite level by use of internal risk assessment. The 2006-07 budget contains no reliance on the use of unallocated reserves. The Council was advised to take a rigorous and critical approach to any further requests for uses of unallocated reserves during 2005-06 to maintain the reserves strategy. Despite this, £0.8m was used from reserves in 2005-06. It is essential that reserves in 2006-07 and the foreseeable future be used ONLY if risks materialise AND cannot be contained by management or policy actions. This is due to the heightened level of risk the Council is exposed to over the next 3 years over and above what can be considered the normal year to year service and budget risks. Even then, in the event that reserves must be used, the Council must put in place arrangements in future years' budgets to recover the level of reserves within 3 years which will place more pressure on revenue and capital budget.

From 2001/2, the Council adopted a risk management approach, which assesses the level of reserves required against a corporate assessment of the risk being carried. The assessed risk has increased from £7m to around £8M on the normal year to year risks and the Executive are advised to bear this figure in mind when recommending the use or replenishment of general reserves over the planning period. In addition, the Council faces a heightened risk from some exceptional issues, including:

Bath Spa Claims Management Costs after 31 March 2006 which may be chargeable to revenue. While I am able to fund up to£2m in 2005/06 costs by extinguishing some earmarked reserves and the use of an IT replacement revenue reserve (by substituting IT spend for claims management costs in the Capital Programme), future years costs remain a concern and a major revenue budget risk. The Council and the Executive are advised to take every opportunity to add to reserves from budget underspends and savings from the preliminary Capital Review. Future costs may need to be a draw on revenue reserves and must be paid back from future years' budgets over 3 years, putting serious pressure on funding for services.

Single Status Ongoing Costs. No provision has been made for additional ongoing costs and, to the extent offsetting savings are not found from 2007/08, the costs will need to be funded from reductions in services and/or increased fees and charges in addition to financial plan targets and savings required to keep Council Tax rises below 5% each year.

Single Status Back Pay. I will need the Council's support to minimise these costs. This may still leave a significant cost and a commitment in future years' budgets to replenish reserves over a 3 year period which will put considerable pressure on future budgets.

Capital Receipts. The capital and revenue budgets rely on a challenging set of targets for receipts(£5.2m p.a. ongoing, £15m one off in 2005-06 and/or early 2006/07 and specific receipts for capital schemes). The Council and Council Executive will need to exercise great discipline to limit capital programme commitments and to achieve this level of receipts which are only deliverable within such a climate. All receipts will be subject to optimising value for money and best consideration and will not be proposed on the basis of a "quick fix" but rather to meet the aspirations of a demanding capital programme.

These are serious exceptional risks which if they crystallise could eliminate the Council's reserves and leave its financial standing seriously in question.

My recommendation that the budget is reasonably robust and reserves are adequate are on condition that the Council and the Council Executive:

Recognise in the planning approach that the level of reserves and corporate risk assessment need to be regularly reviewed in the light of changing circumstances and that it may not be possible to match the two at any single point in time. This plan needs to show the Council's commitment to bring the level of reserves up to a level which should cover most identified risks during the planning period. This approach is pragmatic, and shows a clear commitment to prudent contingency planning. It must be noted however, that this sum does still leaves the Council exposed to the exceptional risks identified and, if those crystallise, to reserves being inadequate.

Limit its capital commitments so that unsupported borrowing is not increased above the level in the proposed and indicative programmes and ideally reduced further as a result of additional capital resources.

Apply a robust approach to capital receipts included in the plan consistent with optimising value.

The Council Members, Directors and Heads of Service achieve their cash limits for 2006/07.

Taking every opportunity to maximise reserves

Rejecting any further calls on reserves other than for those for risks that have been identified or are unforeseen and cannot be dealt with through management or policy actions.

That where there is a draw down on reserves this is paid for within 3 years which will put further pressure on revenue budgets

That the council puts arrangements and resources in place to consider value for money in preparation for future years' budgets.

Processes

Budget estimates are exactly that - estimates of spending and income made at a point in time. This statement about the robustness of estimates cannot give a guarantee about the budget but gives members reasonable assurances that the budget has been based on the best available information and assumptions available at the time.

In order to meet the requirement on the robustness of estimates a number of key processes have been put in place, including:

The issuing of clear guidance to Directorates on preparing budgets.

The development of Council wide risk assessment.

The use of budget monitoring to identify risks.

The Council's s151 Officer providing advice throughout the process of budget preparation and budget monitoring.

The Directors' review of their budgets and budget sensitivities.

Directors reporting on the robustness of estimates to the relevant Overview and Scrutiny Panels.

Notwithstanding these arrangements, which are designed to test the budget throughout its various stages of development, considerable reliance is placed on the Directors and Heads of Service having proper arrangements in place to identify issues, project costs, service demands, to consider value for money and efficiency, and to implement changes in their service plans. This is supported by appropriately qualified financial services.

Corporate and departmental processes will continue to be improved in future years. Improvement in these processes will assist in prevention or earlier identification of issues to be dealt with in the budget and Financial Plan. Nevertheless in preparing such a complex budget unforeseen issues may arise throughout the year and the period of the Financial Plan.

Robustness of Estimates

The 2006/07 budget and service planning process continues the need to link financial resources to corporate priorities and risks. In addition to improving efficiency, there are clearly choices for the Council in this respect:

To increase financial resources to meet demand and reduce risk; or

To reduce (where possible) service levels and standards, frequency of service delivery, and eligibility for services.

As part of developing the budget, Members of the administration have considered these options and they are reflected in the proposed budget.

Most notably the Council has had to address major cost increases and pressures as well as corporate priorities including;

Pensions.

Single Status - a key issue in 2007/08.

Waste Strategy.

The reliance on unsupported borrowing and falling capital receipts within the capital programme. While some steps have been taken to reduce the impact of these factors, the capital review will need to continue to improve planning, phasing of costs, monitoring, and reducing unsupported borrowing.

The cost of Major Projects.

Given the risks facing the Council I have introduced further arrangements to assist in taking a view on the Robustness of Estimates and the adequacy of reserves.

The factors and risks taken into account in developing the draft budget and recommendations on reserves are contained in the Directors' Review of the Robustness of Estimates and Risk/Sensitivity Analysis Statements.

In reports to the Overview and Scrutiny Panels during January 2006 all Directors have, with the support of their financial services, assessed the robustness of their budgets and the achievability of savings, income and reductions. These reports constitute a vital part of my report.

These assumptions and potentially changing circumstances will require the forecasts for future years to be reviewed early in each financial year leading to more detailed budgets being prepared for the next financial year and the medium term during the autumn of each financial year.

Given all these factors I, as the Council's Section 151 Officer, consider the estimates for 2006/07 to be sufficiently robust, challenging and conditional for approval by the Council.

Over the medium term, the Financial Plan reflects the continuing impact of the draft budget and only minimal growth in relation to issues that are unavoidable. Within the tight financial climate over the medium term it is very likely that service improvement and reasonable Council Tax levels, without key service reductions, will only be achieved through improving efficiency and clear prioritisation.

The Capital Budget

Projects, included in the capital programme, were prepared by Heads of Service and managers in line with financial regulations and guidance. All projects were agreed by the relevant strategic director and Executive Member and are fully funded.

Projects have been costed at outturn prices with many subject to tender process after inclusion in the programme. This may lead to variance in the final cost.

Directorates are required to work within the given cash envelope so any under or over provision must be found within these limits.

In addition, I will require a clear commitment from the Council to:

Minimise further commitments on the capital programme without any further capital income and/or reprioritisation of the proposed programme.

Very carefully consider and balance the use of capital receipts over and above those planned in terms of reducing unsupporting borrowing, new service based schemes and development projects to keep the capital programme sustainable.

Directors Review of Robustness & Risk areas

The extent of the Directors Review is to identify;

The key assumptions in the proposed budget and to give a view of the robustness of these assumptions (i.e. financial impact if circumstances change),

The key risk areas in the budget and budget changes to assess the adequacy of reserves.

It is recognised that the Directors cannot give a 100% guarantee of the estimates but rather that the budgets have been based on appropriate but challenging assumptions.

Summary of Potential Range of Risks

The overall summary of total budget sensitivity identified by each of the Directors under normal circumstances, which could impact upon the future years' budgets is as follows:

Directorate

Range of Risks

Resources (& Corporate Items) - excluding Single Status back pay

£0-£4,965,000

Education

£0-£510,000

Corporate Services

£0-£553,000

Operations

£0-£1,000,000

Housing & Social Services

£0-£2,561,000

Total Potential Range of Risks

£0-£9,589,000

This total financial risk has been analysed using the following categories:

Degree of Financial Risk

Range of Risks

Low

£0-£3,080,000

Medium

£0-£5,130,000

High

£0-£1,379,000

Very High

£0

   

Total Potential Range of Risks

£0-£9,589,000

I have taken the view that reserves should reflect ongoing budget sensitivities of all the very high, high and medium risks and half of the low risk items.

This would indicate an underlying prudent level of unallocated reserves of £8m to be achieved pragmatically over time under normal circumstances (and in addition to school balances).

However, the further exceptional risks identified may have a potential call on reserves which may reduce reserves to NIL within 2-3 years. The Council is advised to be cautious about these risks and commit to restoring any draw down on reserves within a 3 year period.

In these circumstances, I will require the Council, Directors and Heads of Service:

To remain within their service budget for 2006/07 and within financial plan targets for future years with a strict adherence to recovering overspends within future years' financial plan targets (i.e. services will need to absorb on overspends, pressures and service plan targets).

Repayment to reserves over 3 years should these risks materialise.

Direct any savings/underspends to reserves, including any savings from the continuing Capital Review.

Estimated Available Revenue Reserves

Earmarked Revenue Reserves

A detailed review of the Council's earmarked revenue reserves has been undertaken by each of the Departments and is reflected in Annex 5 of this Appendix.

Non-Earmarked (General) Revenue Reserves

Detailed in the table below is the estimated level of non-earmarked revenue reserves that will be available to support the General Fund revenue budget in future years.

 

2006

£'000

2007

£'000

2008

£'000

Estimated Reserves @ 1st April of each year

5.2

6.1-6.4

6.8-7.1

Contribution included in the Financial Plan

0.4

0.4

0.4

"Unearmarking" of Earmarked Reserves

0.2

-

-

Project Underspend 2005/06

0.3-0.6

-

-

Additional Contributions from adjustments in the Capital Programme

-

0.3

0.5

Estimated Range of Reserves @ 31st March of each year

6.1-6.4

6.8-7.1

7.7-8.0

Assessment of Adequacy of Reserves

Under the Local Government 2003 Act the Secretary of State has reserve powers to set a minimum level of reserves. The most likely use of this power is where an authority is running down its reserves against the advice of their s151 Officer.

Determining the appropriate levels of reserves is not a precise science or a formula e.g. a %age of the Council's budget. It is the Council's safety net for risks, unforeseen or other circumstances and must last the lifetime of the Council unless contributions are made from future years' revenue budgets. The minimum level of balances cannot be judged merely against the current risks facing the Council as these can and will change over time.

Determining the appropriate levels of reserves is a professional judgement based on local circumstances including the overall budget size, risks, robustness of budgets, major initiatives being undertaken, budget assumptions, other earmarked reserves and provisions, and the Council's track record in budget management.

The consequences of not keeping a minimum prudent level of reserves can be serious. In the event of a major problem or a series of events, the Council would run a serious risk of a deficit or of being forced to cut spending during the year in a damaging and arbitrary way.

The recommendation on the prudent level of reserves has been based on the robustness of estimate information and the Corporate Risk Register. In addition, the other strategic, operational and financial risks taken into account when recommending the minimum level of unallocated General Fund reserves include:

There is always some degree of uncertainty over whether the full effects of any economy measures and/or service reductions will be achieved. Directors have been requested to be prudent in their assumptions and that those assumptions, particularly about demand led budgets, will hold true in changing circumstances.

The Bellwin Scheme Emergency Financial Assistance to Local Authorities provides assistance in the event of an emergency. The Local Authority is able to claim assistance with the cost of dealing with an emergency over and above a threshold set by the Government.

That the accumulated shortfall in income within Heritage Services as at March 2006 will be covered by otherunderspends.

The risk of major litigation, both current and in the future.

Risks in the inter-relation between the NHS and Social Service authorities.

The risk of losing subsidy arising from outstanding Housing Benefit and Council Tax Benefit Subsidy Claims.

Unplanned volume increases in major demand led budgets, particularly in the context of high and accelerating growth.

The need to retain a general contingency to provide for any unforeseen circumstances, which may arise.

The need to retain reserves for general day-today cash flow needs.

The recommendations of the Council's s151 Officer are:

The Council maintains an absolute minimum prudent level of General Fund reserves (excluding schools) of£5.2m at the end of any financial year from 2005/06. The minimum level is designed to cope with risk and unforeseen circumstances that cannot be addressed by management or policy action within the year. Management and policy action should be the first actions taken before any resort to reserves.

That an optimal level of general fund reserves is £8m under normal circumstances and should be achieved by 31 March 2009. The optimal level of reserves is designed to allow the Council to withstand a measure of changes in circumstances during the year or minor variations in projected resources or spending over the period of the Financial Plan.

That the Council faces a period of heightened risk and must therefore take every opportunity to increase reserves, and must restore reserves used to meet risks that crystallise within a period of 3 years.