Meeting documents

Cabinet
Wednesday, 8th February, 2006

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APPENDIX 1 (Appendix 2 below)

Changes To The Budget Proposals Since The Council Executive 11th January 2006

1. THE ISSUE

1.1 At its meeting on 11th January 2006 the Council Executive approved a report that proposed the Council should aim for a slightly less than 5% Council Tax rise, in line with the government's expectation of average tax rises below 5%.

1.2 In order to do so it was reported that services needed to meet their financial plan cash limits for 2006-07 (with the exception of £200k for social services) and a further £1.1m of savings needed to be found.

1.3 The Council Executive tasked Executive Members, Directors and Heads of Service to identify this additional level of savings.

2. THE REPORT

2.1 There are (and still may) be some changes to the position of finding £1.1m of additional savings, namely:

A8 The Government has not yet announced the final financial settlement or the Dedicated Schools Grant (DSG).

A8 The Resources Director has reviewed and approved the Council Tax Base for 2006/07 and the Collection Fund Surplus/Deficit for 2005/06 (as at 15 January 2006). The Council Tax base has been adjusted slightly to take into account projected student exemptions, growth in the tax base and the factor to cover the Council for changes in the provision for bad and doubtful debts and changes in the level of discounts and exemptions.

2.2 As a result of the known changes, the overall level of additional savings to be found to reach a Council rise of 4.95% is now £1.350 million as shown below:

Figure 1: Level of Savings to meet a 4.95% Council Tax Rise in 2006-07

 

£'000

Further savings as reported on 11 January 2006

1,080

Add: Collection Fund deficit (£520k in total of which £440k is applied to the Council, the remainder to other precepting bodies - Fire & Police but not Parish & Town Councils) (Approved by Resources Director)

440

Less: Increase in tax-base over planning assumption (Approved by Resources Director)

(170)

Revised Further Savings to meet a 4.95% Council Tax rise

1,350

2.4 Executive Members, Directors and Heads of Services have identified further savings to reach a 4.95% Council Tax rise as shown in Figure 2.

Figure 2: Proposed Savings to meet a 4.95% Council Tax Rise in 2006-07.

 

£'000

Further Revised Savings Required to meet a 4.95% Council Tax rise

1,350

Corporate Items

 

Reduction in Capital Financing Costs on the current Capital Programme arising from the Interim Report on the Capital Review (see Appendix 2) - rephasing of programme PLUS Adjusting Capital Programme for 2006/07 (see Appendix 2) and ex-Avon debt

-622

Reduction in Revenue Contributions to Capital (historical provision)

-60

Spa Claims Management costs - reduction in the repayment of reserves. Costs for 2005/06 to be funded from capitalisation of IT & reduction in earmarked reserves. Costs in 2006/07 and future years unknown. Risk will need to be carried by general reserves and repaid over 3 years.

-230

Revised Further Savings on Services required to reach a 4.95% Council Tax rise

438

Service Savings

 

Resources Department

 

Increase in Commercial Estate Income/Increase in Revs and Benefits Income/Reduction in 1 FTE Finance Post

-77

Education Department

 

Reduction in 2 FTE (1 Adviser (International Education; 1 x Educational Psychologist)

-79

Social & Housing Services Department

 

Social Services - £1.350m assumed that Social Services would find £170k - this is not possible in the short term without moving eligibility to adult services to CRITICAL only.

+170

Housing/Environmental and Consumer Services

-40

Drug Action Team/Youth Offending Team

-11

Operations Department

 

Cleaning (Efficiency - Recycling)

-30

Parks sponsorship income

-75

Corporate Performance Unit (reduction in inspection fees)

-30

Linear Way - Reorganisation to include relocation of printshop (£60 k of saving from Social Services & Housing)

-90

Corporate Director

 

Corporate Training - reduction in budget

-22

Communications and Marketing/Corporate Projects/Registration - savings in supplies and services

-7

Democratic Services - Reduction in O&S budgets - increased recovery of costs

-20

Libraries - further reductions in staffing - consideration of opening hours

-21

Tourism - reduction negotiated with Bath Tourism Plus

-5

Planning - Reduction in grants and contributions for partnership/joint working

-30

Economics Development - Reduction in supplies and services and reduction in special projects

-14

Major Projects

 

Reduction in budget

-28

Revenue Funding of Debt charges

-29

TOTAL

-438

2.5 From Figure 2 it can be seen that the impact on services of the additional savings is minimised by "corporate" savings based largely on the interim report on the Capital Review and an alternative contingency plan to fund Spa Claims management costs in 2005/06. Planning and managing the capital programme therefore continues to be a major issue, as is the emphasis on determining service levels and performance according to the Council's corporate priorities and ensuring value for money across all services.

2.6 A key risk identified in the budget in the report to the Council Executive on 11th January 2006 is the reliance on £15m of receipts to reduce the Council's unsupported borrowing with a revenue effect of £1.4 million in 2006-07 onwards.

2.7 The latest position is that work is ongoing to achieve the receipt but it is not certain.

2.8 As a fallback position the Council Executive may recommend the budget proposal to Council on the basis that if these specific receipts are not forthcoming, £800k, of IT spend originally to be funded from accumulated revenue reserves is capitalised and that £600k is used from reserves temporarily while alternative receipts of an equivalent amount are received and reserves restored by March 2007. This has been reflected in the Resources Director's Robustness of Estimates and Adequacy of Reserves (Appendix 3, Annex 5).

Bath Spa Claims Management Costs

2.9 The Council's external auditors have questioned the Council's ability to capitalise Bath Spa Management Costs. The Office of the Deputy Prime Minister has on three occasions rejected the Council's application for a capitalisation direction and declined a meeting with the Council. The Council Executive is considering taking Counsel's Opinion on the matter and insisting on a meeting with the relevant Minister.

2.10 Notwithstanding Counsel's Opinion, the Council itself needs to have a fallback position on funding Spa Claims Management costs from revenue in 2005-06 and in future years. This is outlined in Appendix 3.

3. FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS

3.1 The financial implications are contained within the body of the report.

4. RISK MANAGEMENT

4.1 This is covered in the Council Executive's budget proposal.

APPENDIX 2

CAPITAL PROGRAMME REVIEW: INTERIM REPORT

1 THE ISSUE

1.1 The Council, at its meeting of 17th November 2005 approved the terms of reference of a review of the current capital programme.

1.2 The key objectives of the review are:

To reduce the pressure of the capital programme on the revenue budget.

To further improve the Council's performance on monitoring and management of slippage within the capital programme.

To put in measures to improve the management and development of the capital programme.

1.3 The Terms of Reference of the review of the Capital Programme to address these objectives are:

To review total scheme costs, at a minimum identifying the risks associated with the estimates and any potential for variances as projects progress.

To review the phasing of expenditure to reduce slippage and to plan the phasing of borrowing;

To review the phasing of income other than borrowing;

To develop options and recommendations for an accelerated capital receipts strategy to reduce the impact of the current level of planned unsupported borrowing on the revenue budget and to provide cash cover for all or part of the contingency;

To review the affordability of the programme and consider reductions and the rephasing of programme if necessary; and

To consider new scheme proposals in the light of the issues identified in this report.

1.4 This report sets out the interim outcomes of this short review focussing on its financial impact in 2006/07 but it is proposed to continue the review as set out in paragraph 4.6.

2 RECOMMENDATIONS

The Council Executive is asked to:

2.1 Recommend the adjustments in the current indicative capital programmes for 2006/07 to 2008-09.

2.2 Note the continuing work on the Capital Programme Review due to be reported in the June meeting of the Council Executive.

3 SUMMARY FINANCIAL IMPLICATIONS

3.1 These are contained in Section 4 of the Appendix.

4 THE REPORT

4.1 The Council and Council Executive have previously received reports demonstrating the pressure the current Capital Programme is putting on the revenue budget as well as other pressures within the revenue budget itself. Revenue budgets are likely to be tighter in 2007/08 and 2008/09. This report seeks to determine an affordable programme which strikes a balance between the development and maintenance needs of the Council and its affordability in revenue terms.

4.2 The Executive and Council last considered the Capital Programme in January and February 2005 and drew attention to the matter including a series of detailed resolutions.

4.3 The Resources Director, in her robustness of estimates and adequacy of reserves report advised in February 2005 ... "On capital ... I would require that further capital commitments cannot be entered into without a clear understanding of the impacts and unless this can be contained within our risk and funding limits."

4.4 These resolutions and advice remain valid.

4.5 The Council approved a review of the Capital Programme on 17 November 2005. Directors Group agreed a more detailed terms of reference in early December. In the short time available, a pragmatic approach has been taken to the review. The immediate focus is on those issues affecting the budget for 2006/07 and future years.

4.6 The review will continue beyond the budget to cover key issues which have emerged during the review which include:

Ownership of capital budgets, communications, and accuracy in the phasing of costs. Savings of£600k have been included in the revenue budget from rephasing but there may still be some "optimism bias" in the projections.

Processes for developing the programme (capital spend and capital receipts) need further improvement, in particular options appraisal and developing evaluation criteria for initially prioritising schemes for Member consideration. These both need to be set within an officer/Member focus for developing the programme (e.g. Capital Strategy and Asset Management Group), taking a strategic view of the programme (e.g. Project Programme Board) and decision making (the Council Executive and Council).

The level of unsupported borrowing underpinning the programme. While this report proposes taking steps to reduce this on the current Capital Programme further bids on unsupported borrowing will increase unsupported borrowing and/or the need for capital receipts. Without reductions in the Capital Programme or a further increase in capital receipts the Council's unsupported borrowing could increase beyond the£29m in the proposed Capital Programme. The capital financing costs for unsupported borrowing up to 2008/09 may reach a significant proportion of the current non-schools budget. In the present tight council tax regime, and particularly given the pressures on the revenue budget, this cannot be sustained.

The above would suggest a dual policy of moderating spending expectations and increasing and accelerating capital receipts. The second phase of the review will need to consider whether the first call on additional capital receipts must also be to reduce unsupported borrowing and if in future the revenue effects of such prudential borrowing should be met from service revenue budgets in order to allow prioritisation of spend between day-to-day services and the cost of borrowing. In the instance of "development" projects it is proposed that revenue costs are prioritised against financial plan targets for services i.e. the Council reduces budgets for lower priority services to fund the revenue effects of "development" or other projects according to priority.

The Council needs to improve its overall consideration of value for money with both revenue and capital budgets. This includes not just benchmarking fees and construction costs but on the "development" projects to evaluate the economic value (in its wider sense) to be achieved for the investment. This relates back to developing options appraisal.

4.7 There are therefore a number of key strategic issues about the Capital Programme which need to be addressed in the near future.

Links to corporate priorities - the current programme is attempting to meet a multitude of ambitious objectives at the same time - the Spa, maintenance backlogs, school places, EPHs, development projects and housing needs. Future capital investment needs add to this, for example, further resources for development projects including transport while continuing maintenance, relocating/developing waste facilities, and WorkSMART. One way of addressing this is to consider these needs over a more realistic timescale of around 10 years.

Affordability - the balance between the revenue and capital budgets needs to be re-aligned, and a sound mechanism put in place to ensure prioritisation between capital and revenue in the future.

The balance between maintenance and new projects/new build; and

The accuracy in the phasing of scheme costs.

4.8 These issues will be addressed by continuing the review. The Capital Strategy and Asset Management Group will be tasked with producing recommendations to deal with these for June meeting of the Council Executive.

4.9 This initial report focuses on:

increasing capital receipts to make up for falling housing capital receipts.

how the current Capital Programme can be amended to ensure greater affordability and achievability.

4.10 Appendix 3 (The Draft Budget Proposal) reflects the proposals in this report as well as the consideration of new capital programme priorities.

Increasing Capital Receipts

4.11 The budget for 2006/07 assumes £15m of receipts to reduce unsupported borrowing on the current programme and which remains uncertain. A temporary fallback position has been identified should alternative receipts need to be identified and achieved during 2006/07. If this is not achieved, the revenue budget will increase by£1.4m in 2007/08 putting further pressure on services.

4.12 The capital budget (and consequent revenue budget) has been adjusted for capital receipts targets as shown in Table 1:

TABLE 1: Housing and General Capital Receipts Targets 2006/07 to 2008/09

 

Current Budget £'000m

Proposed Budget £'000m

 

2006/07

2007/08

2008/09

2006/07

2007/08

2008/09

General Receipts

1.5

1.0

0.75

5.2

5.2

5.2

Housing Receipts

6.0

6.0

6.0

1.0

1.0

1.0

Total

7.5

7.0

6.75

6.2

6.2

6.2

4.13 The Head of Property and Legal Services and the Resources Director have evaluated the achievability of this level of receipts in order to agree the Council's budget. The Head of Property and Legal Services is also investigating the achievability of a higher level of receipts although this must be viewed alongside the Commercial Estate Options Review. At£5.2m p.a. ongoing this is considered a tough target. The outcomes of the review of additional receipts inform capital planning for 2007/08 onwards. At that stage the Council will need to carefully balance the use of any additional receipts between:

the need to reduce unsupported borrowing to fund the current programme, unavoidable costs and key priorities;

the continuing risks in the current programme;

service needs for capital in priority areas; and

"Development" projects.

4.14 There is a strong case for limiting the Capital Programme in 2006/07 in the context of having such an ambitious programme in a possibly unrealistically short 3-5 year period. In addition, as reported in January 2005, the programme contains major risks (Spa, Spa Claims, CDSM, other major projects) which if they crystallise will be difficult to contain due to the level of unsupported borrowing for other committed schemes and projects.

4.15 The Council will also need to support the achievement of more ambitious capital receipts targets.

Adjusting the Current Programme

4.16 Table 2 in this report contains the proposed adjustments in the programme and/or where the services can or should look to find resources within their revenue budgets to fund the ongoing costs of unsupported borrowing.

Table 2: Proposed Adjustments in the Current Indicative Capital Programme

 

2006/07

(£)

2007/08

(£)

2008/09

(£)

Total

(3 years)

(£)

Comment

Base Programme Long Term Office Accommodation

384

200

-

584

Superseded by WorkSMART Save to Invest Case.

Rephased Long Term Office Accommodation

90

-

-

90

Superseded by WorkSMART Save to Invest Case.

Southgate rephase

140

-

-

140

Not needed.

Headroom

750

750

-

1,500

All proposals to be self-financing including cost of prudential borrowing.

Long Term Income Sustainability

500

500

-

1,000

All proposals to be self-financing including cost of prudential borrowing.

Members Discretion

250

250

-

500

Reduction.

Unallocated Base Programme

250

250

250

750

Reduction.

Other

200

200

-

400

Reduction.

Housing

1,000

1,000

-

2,000

Review how needs can be met from development.

Mental Health Grant

93

91

-

184

Use to fund EPH programme within terms of the grant.

Highways Maintenance

1,050

1,050

250

2,350

Prudential borrowing to be funded from maintenance budget or ceased if service cannot afford the cost.

Property Development work

135

135

135

405

From capital receipts & included in target.

Land Registration

35

35

35

105

Provision to fund Prudential Borrowing in Property Service Plan.

Commercial Estate works

200

200

200

600

Prudential borrowing from increased rental income.

TOTAL

5,077

4,661

870

10,608

 

4.17 Directors and Executive Members have considered opportunities to reduce the current Capital Programme to reduce unsupported borrowing and to ensure re-prioritisation against new priorities.

4.18 In carrying out the review the basic criteria used have included:

Retaining schemes that are subject to government funding (supported borrowing and grants) or third party funding on the basis that future funding could be reduced.

Retaining schemes that are committed or nearly committed.

4.19 In addition to the adjustments in Table 2, it is proposed to:

Delete the remaining budget in 2005/06 for Headroom Creation of£1.2m (including slippage from 2004/05) on the basis that such proposals should generate savings/income to cover the capital financing costs of any related capital investment.

In line with the Resources Director's recommendations on capital contingency the£7m in 2008/09 has been reduced to £0.5m to make a total contingency of £5m which is funded. Major projects include contingencies of£34m for CDSM and £5m for other projects. The remaining £10m contingency is not funded.

4.20 Arising from the review of the phasing of schemes a reduction of £600k in capital financing costs has been included in the revenue budget proposals for 2006/07.

4.21 The first phase of this review is also proposing reductions in the capital programme of £1.2m in 2005-06, £5.1m in 2006/07, £4.7m in 2007/08 and £7.4m (including a £6.5m reduction in the contingency) in 2008/09.

4.22 The savings from these adjustments are before any additions to the capital programme in 2006/07 and future years.

4.23 The net revenue budget saving in relation to the proposed adjustments to the Capital Programme in Table 2 and proposed additions to the programme are contained in Appendix 3, Annex 4:

£39k which is included in the revenue budget savings for 2006/07.

A total of £290k in 2007/08 of which £39k is included in the revenue budget savings.

A total of £512k in 2008/09 of which £39k is included in the revenue budget savings.

4.24 It is proposed that the net savings from the adjustments to the current capital programme and new schemes adopted in future years be added to reserves each year - £251k in 2007/08 and £473k in 2008/09 (a total of £724k) to cover the exceptional risks identified by the Resources Director. This is in addition to the £400k p.a. contribution to reserves already built into the Financial Plan 2006/07 to 2008/09. This makes contributions to reserves of £1.924m over the 3 year period.

5 RISK MANAGEMENT

5.1 A risk assessment related to the issue and recommendations has been undertaken, in compliance with the Council's decision making risk management guidance.

6 RATIONALE

6.1 The rationale of the review is explained in Section 1 of this Appendix (2) in terms of its objectives and terms of reference. The rational of this part of the review is to limit the Council's further commitments within an ambitious capital programme while capital resources are falling.

7 OTHER OPTIONS CONSIDERED

7.1 Options were considered in terms of reducing or not reducing particular schemes or programmes.

8 CONSULTATION

8.1 The proposals have been discussed by the Directors Group and Executive Members and will feature as part of the budget/service plan consultations. The Resources Overview and Scrutiny Panel will be considering these proposals as part of the overall budget at its meeting on 9th February 2006.

9

REASONS FOR URGENCY

9.1 The issue is part of the Council's budget and Council Tax setting process.

Contact person

Richard Szadziewski - tel (01225 ) 477468

e-mail Richard_Szadziewski@bathnes.gov.uk

Background papers

Budget Management Scheme

Report to Council 17th December 2005 - Capital Programme Review - Item 9.

Indicative Capital Programme 2006-07 to 2008-09

Capital Programme Budget Monitor 2005-06